Quote:
Originally Posted by Romulus
The problem is we can't live in a bubble for ever. Given that a vaccine that will allegedly save the world is still 12-18 months away the only way we'll be able to manage the spread of CV19 is through herd immunity, a slow but steady spread through the community until the virus fizzles out.
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Sorry but there is not yet a clinically proven viable treatment despite your links to other fringe loonies and it's probably not going to fizzle out any more than Influenza has - nice as that would be.
As to living in a bubble, maybe that will actually form part of the new order in the mid-term. Nearly all of Oceania is made up of islands that share no land borders with any other country so perhaps the bubble encompasses that region only - once the new case rates reach whatever level is deemed 'safe' (albeit safe being a relative term).
As we've seen from the Burnie (Tas) and NSW aged care facility outbreaks, the infection rate can be both rapid and high so even if we reach a zero new case state, it will be essential to avoid importing new cases.
The daily new case rates are improving in most places - I've taken the usual 3 graphs and shortened their time frame to 14 days for a better look at what is trending:
AU / NZ have not shown the continued downturn I'd have expected with a slightly upward trend the last few days.
UK/ Spain / Germany / Italy - at least the UK and Spain are heading in the right direction while Germany isn't improving fast enough and Italy is heading the wrong way.
The USA shows a downward trend over the last couple of days but we will have to wait another couple of days to see if that's just the weekend testing impact or a real gain.
