Thread: Covid 19 -
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Old 09-07-2020, 05:00 PM   #4056
russellw
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Some miscellaneous stats.

As of yesterday 80 of the 213 countries (39.9%) that have recorded at least one case, had worsening active case percentages.

30 of the 213 (14.1%) have not recorded a death despite having recorded cases.
Conversely, 11 of the 213 (5.2%) have a CMR above 10%.

115 countries (54%) have recorded less than 2 deaths per 100k of population while 36 countries (16.9%) have recorded more than 10 per 100k, including 28 that are over 15/100k.

29 countries (13.6%) have conducted more than 10,000 tests per 100k of population (including Australia), and 12 of those (5.6%) have more than 20,000 tests per 100k. At the other end of the scale there are 63 countries that have conducted less than 500 tests / 100k, including 32 (15%) that are below 100 / 100k.

37 countries (17.4%) have detected less than 10 cases per 100k of population while 90 countries (42.3%) have more than 100 / 100k and 27 (12.7%) have more than 500 / 100k.

Obviously testing volumes have a direct impact on CMR as it is generally fair to say that the higher the test volumes, the lower the CMR. That leads to an interesting point if we drill down on those countries that have done a lot of testing.

There are 8 countries with > 30% of the population tested but with the exception of Bahrain and the UAE they all also have really small populations. Three of them have a CMR of 0; three are below 1% CMR including the two with larger population bases and the remaining two have a CMR of 2.4% (Luxembourg) and 3.7% (Monaco). By comparison, the global average is 4.54%.

A further 4 countries have tested between 20-30% of their population, only one of which (Bermuda) has a really small population base but it also has the worst CMR of the four at 6.0% although Denmark at 4.7% is also high with the others below 2%.

That leaves 15 countries that have tested between 10-20% of their population although most of those are below 15%. Here we (ironically) have 2 of the highest CMRs - the United Kingdom (15.5%) and Belgium (15.7%) with eight others below 2%; a further 3 below the global average and the Channel Islands (8.1%) and Spain (9.5%) falling in-between.

I've graphed the data below even though it's somewhat ambiguous. Note that it's been amended to tests per 100M so the scale is readable.



24 of the 213 (11.3%) are currently clear of active cases.
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