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Old 17-11-2010, 12:25 PM   #1
Grippy
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Default The demise of manual transmissions?

With technology continuing to provide automatic transmissions that change gear seamlessly and in some cases provide better acceleration numbers in a straight line, are we getting closer to a day where a manufacturer will drop the 'manual option' all together? The numbers show manual cars are continuing to be ignored with new car sales. With auto's such as our much loved ZF providing an amazing driveline and high end manufacturors offering flappy paddles that will no doubt be available at one point in the future for FPV models, could this possibly spell the end for the trusty old 'H' pattern?

There is no doubt die hard manual fans will never order a new car with an auto, but will a time come where it will no longer be economically viable for a manufacturer to offer a manual transmission? If so, it will be a sad, sad day

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Old 17-11-2010, 01:02 PM   #2
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I'd say expense will keep them around.
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Old 17-11-2010, 01:28 PM   #3
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Yeah, manuals became superseeded technology when they came out with 5- and 6-speed autos that could beat them in a drag race and at the bowser.

Manuals only exist for boy-racers, journalists and people stuck in 1967.

Don't get me wrong, I've owned as many manual cars as I have automatic cars, and i've enjoyed the first couple of weeks of having a manual, but when i'm shifting gear 247 times in one suburb, i get to the point where i go 'get me back in to a bloody automatic!'
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Old 17-11-2010, 01:38 PM   #4
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people are just very lazy. it is not that hard to change a gear. it takes half a second.

in asia and europe there are manuals everywere. if the manual does die off then the few remaining ones will be worth a fair bit.
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Old 17-11-2010, 01:39 PM   #5
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Not every country is like Australia and New Zealand in it's buying trend toward Auto's. The English in particular love manuals and even sectors of the American market - 'Sportscar buyers' in particular are hardcore manual gearbox nuts.

I think local V8's and small Euro 4's will continue to have a manual option for a while to come - although it is ominous when you read the latest articles on the Miami V8 that say the auto is so much better suited to the engine - and that's from motoring jouno's who are normally the most 'pro manaul' of them all...
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Old 17-11-2010, 01:40 PM   #6
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I never want to grow out of being a boy racer
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Old 17-11-2010, 01:41 PM   #7
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wow arent we synical last time I checked all forms of motorsport use a manual transmission V8 scs TOCA WRC the list goes on the only form that doesnt use a full blooded manual is F1 and the boxes they use could be construed as very close to a manual been a while since I looked into it but aren't they twin clutch paddle shifts? so if they are what I think they are they are somewhere in the middle not a fully fledged manual but not a fully fledged automatic either, I see manual being around for quite some time yet as all but F1 still use manual transmissions in their race cars, this may change but I see it taking at least two decades maybe more for the tech to filter down to your run of the mill toyota..
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Old 17-11-2010, 01:43 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by glavas
it is not that hard to change a gear. it takes half a second.
That could very well be a big part of the problem.
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Old 17-11-2010, 01:51 PM   #9
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I hope the day never comes, but it does seem to be becoming a lost art. Thinking about it last night I asked some friends if they've driven a manual car before, only 1 of the 6 males present had driven a manual car before, they're missing out on a lot of fun.
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Old 17-11-2010, 01:51 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tweeked
I never want to grow out of being a boy racer
^^ Same!
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Old 17-11-2010, 01:51 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Hardware
Yeah, manuals became superseeded technology when they came out with 5- and 6-speed autos that could beat them in a drag race and at the bowser.

Manuals only exist for boy-racers, journalists and people stuck in 1967.

Don't get me wrong, I've owned as many manual cars as I have automatic cars, and i've enjoyed the first couple of weeks of having a manual, but when i'm shifting gear 247 times in one suburb, i get to the point where i go 'get me back in to a bloody automatic!'
Hmm, I seem to have heard this argument many time before except the word manual was replaced with V8 and the word automatic replaced with T6.

It is just as valid yet just as invalid depending on you point of view.

People who buy NEW cars tend to chose exactly what they want rather than what is available at the time and sales of bosth V8s and manuals do not seem to have suffered.........
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:07 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Grobbo
Not every country is like Australia and New Zealand in it's buying trend toward Auto's. The English in particular love manuals and even sectors of the American market - 'Sportscar buyers' in particular are hardcore manual gearbox nuts.
This guy is on to it.

I think real men will be able to change gear themselves for a while yet.
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:13 PM   #13
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At least with ford drivers, with the zf being as good as it is I'm sure many buyers are just not bothering with the manual, not taking away from manuals(I love cog swapping!) but sometimes a smooth euro transmission is a better choice than a manual especially in family cars.
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:14 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iggypoppin'
At least with ford drivers, with the zf being as good as it is I'm sure many buyers are just not bothering with the manual, not taking away from manuals(I love cog swapping!) but sometimes a smooth euro transmission is a better choice than a manual especially in family cars.
Exactly right, auto's are only going to get better as well.
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:19 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tweeked
I never want to grow out of being a boy racer
Agreed, I reckon most would know my opinion on this.

Australia is very much like the US. I truly hope that the manual does not die off, but if the past is anything to go by then it might happen.

I will always prefer a manual, but there are times when my auto is nice to have too.

It doesn't matter how much faster, smoother or efficient an auto might be, a manual will always offer greater satisfaction as a driving experience.

There is a place for both, but if the accountants had their way then I would be worried. IMO driving a manual is actually a life skill, and unless you have a disability of some sort then it should be mandatory atleast when getting your license. What you do after that is your own choice.
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:21 PM   #16
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There was an article where Manuals were becoming popular again around the world. It was in Australia where manuals were dying off.

Seeing as most people are useless with a car I dont see them having the capability to actually drive a manual.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Hardware
Manuals only exist for boy-racers, journalists and people stuck in 1967.
Auto's only exist for Taxi's!!

That should even out the ignorance from that quote.
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:24 PM   #17
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I do agree its funny how people say an auto is good in traffic etc, but as said above unless its a manual and diesel it just wont sell in Europe; and their towns/cities etc have smaller streets than ours.
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:25 PM   #18
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They will around for a while yet. Auto's are still pretty complicated. If you get a metal case, fill it with rocks and broken glass and stick a steel rod into the top with a plastic knob on the end you've pretty much built your own T5 gearbox!! Its that easy you can do it at home!!! Needs a service? Simple, change the rocks
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:26 PM   #19
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Manuals only exist for boy-racers, journalists and people stuck in 1967.

Or for drivers as opposed to vehicle steerers . It has been mentioned earlier in this thread but essentially Australians are bloody lazy just like the seppos . Go to the UK and most of Europe and you are absolutely flat out finding an auto . Much bigger market in Europe than here so cant see manuals dying anytime soon unless all of Europe suddenly develops Australiaitis .
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:27 PM   #20
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Unfortunately, the trend for high volume sales is drifting towards the automatic, it is a shame but most people, other than members who affiliate themselves with a car club or a public motor forum, tend to want to get to where they want to go with as little fuss as is possible - fleet buyers especially.

IMO manuals will still be available, but sometime in the near future, will become an option.
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:28 PM   #21
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" I hope the day never comes, but it does seem to be becoming a lost art. Thinking about it last night I asked some friends if they've driven a manual car before, only 1 of the 6 males present had driven a manual car before, they're missing out on a lot of fun "

Do said 5 " men " also ride Yamaha Majesty's and drive RAV 4's .
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:35 PM   #22
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I hope not. It's pretty much the same reason why I wish the V8SCs would go back to H pattern gearboxes.

I've always preferred driving manuals to autos. Autos have their place, but I'll always be happy with an extra pedal alongside of my brake, and accelerator pedals.
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:36 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Grippy
I hope the day never comes, but it does seem to be becoming a lost art. Thinking about it last night I asked some friends if they've driven a manual car before, only 1 of the 6 males present had driven a manual car before, they're missing out on a lot of fun.
My mums never driven an auto!
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:45 PM   #24
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Re the US - having just done my 10th + trip being in customers cars and the like not 1 was manual, from Expeditions to large pick ups.
In fact reading recently a automotive journal whilst there 84% of the Nth American market is auto - what do you expect they want to keep stuffing their faces with fried chicken and over sized coke mugs whilst on the road LOL.....
Whilst on it Asia is fast growing towards autos and as for EU yes 80% is manual but the trend is starting to Semi Auto's (self changing clutchless manual) at premium models and lower.

footnote : I'm a man - I prefer manual reminds of my growing up days in the late 70's LOL.....there's positives negatives for either.
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Old 17-11-2010, 02:49 PM   #25
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maybe it is a lazy thing, but if your in the big smoke and stuck in stop start traffic on a regular basis auto is very nice.
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Old 17-11-2010, 03:27 PM   #26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Hardware
Manuals only exist for boy-racers, journalists and people stuck in 1967.
'
Fast forward a few years mate - you haven't really driven until you've driven an HQ Kingswood or Belmont 202 with 3 speed manual on the column with bench seat and no power steering...Ahhhh them were the days
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Old 17-11-2010, 03:36 PM   #27
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Damn I thought my 3 on tree HG was a pearla - 45mph screaming out of 1st - never ruined the box but damn changed 3diffs those days LOL....
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Old 17-11-2010, 03:44 PM   #28
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big cubes + big hp + manual = sex on wheels....
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Old 17-11-2010, 04:40 PM   #29
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5 cars in our family, all manual,(6 if you count the tractor!!) bloody hope they dont get rid of them!!
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Old 17-11-2010, 04:44 PM   #30
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the only time when i actually wished i had an auto was when i sprined my left fot a couple of days ago!!! hurt so much haha
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